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Physical Address
304 North Cardinal St.
Dorchester Center, MA 02124
Ticker: AEVA
Current Price: ~$24.20
Market Cap: ~$1.4 billion
Industry: 4D LiDAR / Autonomous Sensing
Aeva is a leading provider of 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology, offering both distance and velocity detection within a compact silicon-photonics platform. With strategic partnerships across automotive (e.g., Daimler/Torc), industrial, aerospace, and robotics verticals, Aeva is positioned to potentially benefit from a rapidly growing LiDAR market. As one of the few pure-play LiDAR companies trading publicly, AEVA provides exposure to next-gen sensing tech with a roadmap toward profitability.
Metric | Estimate |
---|---|
Revenue (2025) | ~$400 million¹ |
Revenue CAGR (2023–26) | ~75% |
EPS (2026 forecast) | ~$0.50 |
Shares Outstanding | ~55 million |
Estimated Forward P/E | ~$24.20 ÷ $0.50 ≈ 48× |
Target EBITDA Margin (2026) | 10–15% |
EV/Revenue Multiple | 3–5× |
Implied Enterprise Value | ~$2 billion (5× revenue) |
¹ Q1–Q3 revenue extrapolated from ~100 M quarterly run-rate (anachart.com, en.wikipedia.org, gurufocus.com, fintel.io, finance.yahoo.com)
A PEG below 1 may suggest potential valuation alignment for a hardware/software hybrid company.
Implication: Elevated short interest may increase price volatility on positive developments.
Risk | Mitigant |
---|---|
Profit conversion execution risk | Conservative margin estimates inform model |
Competition (other LiDAR players) | Unique 4D chip approach creates differentiation |
Execution delays or supply chain | Multiple industry partnerships diversify go-to-market risk |
High volatility/SPAC legacy | Institutional accumulation and strong insider holding reduce stigma |
Aeva is a rare public-stage hardware/software hybrid poised at the forefront of next-gen sensing. With meaningful revenue, strong partnerships, clear path to profitability, and a PEG ~0.6, AEVA balances growth with valuation discipline. Elevated short interest and tight float contribute optionality, while range of analyst targets suggests consensus on some perceived downside stability but limited upside recognition.
AEVA may be considered by some investors as a core holding in growth-focused portfolios, offering exposure to general autonomous infrastructure with upside tied to commercialization execution.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. The author is not a registered investment advisor. All opinions are the author’s own. Readers are encouraged to do their own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.